Damned if they do…

Damned if they do…

Proof that it isn’t 2008 will come for the Obama campaign as early as this morning. In one of the most watched Supreme Court cases in decades, the justices will decide if all or part of the Affordable Care Act, AKA “Obamacare,” is unconstitutional.

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Policy or politics?

Policy or politics?

This is an election year and it is politics that drive policy. Much as President Obama’s recently taken position on gay marriage constituted an about face from his earlier position, so, too, does his executive order of Friday regarding the children of illegal aliens.

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From May to June.

From May to June.

The conventional wisdom in the fall was that the Republicans were doing so much damage to one another in a bruising primary that Obama's re-election would be all but inevitable. A tough May and a bad first week of June and that wisdom is being stood on its head.

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No May flowers for the Obama campaign.

No May flowers for the Obama campaign.

It’s still a long time until the election. But another month like May for Obama and his re-election chances will fade dramatically.

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How can Romney win?

How can Romney win?

There are 50 states in the union but the presidential action in 2012 will be concentrated in just twelve of them, from which Romney will need to execute what Karl Rove calls the “3-2-1 Plan.”

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A tough May so far for the Obama campaign.

A tough May so far for the Obama campaign.

Poor jobs numbers, a less-than-sold out house at his campaign kickoff rally and a reminder that the tea party is still around to influence elections add up to a tough start to the month of May for candidate Obama.

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Unemployment 8.1%: Good news or bad news for Obama?

Unemployment 8.1%: Good news or bad news for Obama?

If Obama can keep attention focused on the headline number, the slowly but steadily decreasing official unemployment rate, his chances improve. If, however, Romney can get voters to understand the more arcane labor force participation numbers, he can possibly ruin Obama’s Thanksgiving.

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It’s on. Five reasons Romney can win.

It’s on. Five reasons Romney can win.

The polls still suggest that the November election is Obama's to lose. But only just barely and only because Obama has operated in the vacuum created by the GOP primary. The primary is now over and the general election campaign is on. As the campaign gets underway, it is clear that Obama has more downside risk than upside potential as the race unfolds.

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Clarity…in a muddled sort of way.

Clarity…in a muddled sort of way.

While the remaining candidates now have no hope of eclipsing Romney's delegate lead, Romney's path to the 1,144 delegates needed to clinch the nomination remains unclear.

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Mitch Daniels to the rescue?

Mitch Daniels to the rescue?

The possibility now exists that the nomination will not be secured by anyone in the field by the time that the GOP convenes in Tampa on August 27 and there is a growing desire among some GOP leaders for a fresh face to enter the race. One name that keeps coming up: Indiana governor Mitch Daniels.

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