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Dr. Bob’s Weather Forecast and Report

WEATHER REPORT AND SUMMARY:
KTYR
VT [VALID TIME] THROUGH 05/25/2016@0530C
ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1821C

TYLER-LONGVIEW METROPOLITAN AREA FORECAST:
TONIGHT: mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for mainly evening showers and thunderstorms, low lower 70s, south winds about 10 mph;
WEDNESDAY: mostly cloudy, high upper 80s, south winds 10-15 mph;
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for late-night showers and thunderstorms, low lower 70s, south winds about 10 mph;
THURSDAY: mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high lower 80s, south winds 10-15 mph;
THURSDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely–mainly during the evening, low lower 70s, south winds 10-15 mph, (60 percent probability for measurable precipitation);
FRIDAY: cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely–heavy rainfall possible, high upper 70s, south winds 10-20 mph, (70 percent probability for measurable precipitation).
EXTENDED FORECAST:
FRIDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely–heavy rainfall possible, low upper 60s, (70 percent probability for measurable precipitation);
SATURDAY: mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high middle 80s;
SATURDAY NIGHT: decreasing cloudiness, low upper 60s;
SUNDAY: partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high upper 80s;
SUNDAY NIGHT: increasing cloudiness with a 20 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, low upper 60s;
MEMORIAL DAY: mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high upper 80s;
MONDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, low upper 60s;
TUESDAY: partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high upper 80s.

TYLER CLIMATE DATA FOR May 24, 2016
(The report is for the twenty-one hours ending at 2100 Greenwich
Mean Time, 4:00 p.m. Central Daylight-Saving Time. The maximum
and minimum temperatures represent the observations during the preceding fifteen hours, and precipitation during the preceding twenty-one hours. The observations are made at NWS/419207, Tyler, Texas City Office, 95.3W/32.3N, 158M).
MAXIMUM 88
MINIMUM 69
PRECIPITATION 0.00
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 1.52
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 21.98

LONGVIEW CLIMATE DATA FOR May 24, 2016
(The report is for the twenty-one hours ending at 2100 Greenwich Mean Time, 4:00 p.m. Central Daylight-Saving Time. The maximum and minimum temperatures represent the observations during the preceeding fifteen hours, and precipitation during the preceding twenty-one hours. The observations are made at WMO/722470, Longview, Texas–East Texas Regional Airport, [94.7W/32.4N, 107M]).
MAXIMUM 85
MINIMUM 69
PRECIPITATION 0.00
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 1.83
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 26.12

PUBLIC FORECAST EXPLANATION
ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1815C
AMENDED FOR A FEW CHANGES IN THE POPS PARTICULARLY FOR
MEMORIAL DAY. RKP

ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1452C
We are currently in a very moist surface air mass. Some air mass thunderstorms have
developed near Burnet in Central Texas, and these are possible in our area. At the same time,
there is a minor disturbance over Southern Oklahoma this is the remnant of the thunderstorm
complex which formed over Northwest Texas last night. This could enhance thunderstorm
formation into the early-evening hours, especially to our north.
Otherwise, we are still beneath upper air high pressure and have surface high pressure
present. This is going to hold through Thursday night.
Another thunderstorm complex should form over the Eastern Texas Panhandle here in the
next couple of hours. According to Amarillo’s discussion, tonight’s may be about as strong as
was that of Sunday night/Monday. If this verifies, we may have to increase POPS for
Wednesday.
Otherwise, we’re expecting a significant upper air disturbance to cross late this week.
This will increase shower chances from Thursday afternoon into Friday evening.
Beyond that, next weekend should see a re-building of the upper air high, and a continued
southwesterly flow aloft and very moist surface air mass. This means continuing shower chances
through the holiday weekend.
Early next week, another upper air low is likely to come eastward in the upper air flow,
and again increase our shower chances.
At 2 p.m. today, skies are cloudy indication of the very moist nature of the air mass,
temperatures are in the lower 80s, and winds are southerly at about 10 mph. RKP

CODED CITIES FORECAST–TYR
ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1817C

DAY WX TEMP POP
Wednesday MOSTLY CLOUDY 72/87 20%/10%
Thursday THUNDERSTORMS 73/83 20%/50%
Friday THUNDERSTORMS 71/79 60%/70%

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Dr. Bob’s Weather Forecast and Report

Posted/updated on: May 24, 2016 at 6:22 pm

WEATHER REPORT AND SUMMARY:
KTYR
VT [VALID TIME] THROUGH 05/25/2016@0530C
ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1821C

TYLER-LONGVIEW METROPOLITAN AREA FORECAST:
TONIGHT: mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for mainly evening showers and thunderstorms, low lower 70s, south winds about 10 mph;
WEDNESDAY: mostly cloudy, high upper 80s, south winds 10-15 mph;
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for late-night showers and thunderstorms, low lower 70s, south winds about 10 mph;
THURSDAY: mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high lower 80s, south winds 10-15 mph;
THURSDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely–mainly during the evening, low lower 70s, south winds 10-15 mph, (60 percent probability for measurable precipitation);
FRIDAY: cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely–heavy rainfall possible, high upper 70s, south winds 10-20 mph, (70 percent probability for measurable precipitation).
EXTENDED FORECAST:
FRIDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely–heavy rainfall possible, low upper 60s, (70 percent probability for measurable precipitation);
SATURDAY: mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high middle 80s;
SATURDAY NIGHT: decreasing cloudiness, low upper 60s;
SUNDAY: partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high upper 80s;
SUNDAY NIGHT: increasing cloudiness with a 20 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, low upper 60s;
MEMORIAL DAY: mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high upper 80s;
MONDAY NIGHT: mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, low upper 60s;
TUESDAY: partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms, high upper 80s.

TYLER CLIMATE DATA FOR May 24, 2016
(The report is for the twenty-one hours ending at 2100 Greenwich
Mean Time, 4:00 p.m. Central Daylight-Saving Time. The maximum
and minimum temperatures represent the observations during the preceding fifteen hours, and precipitation during the preceding twenty-one hours. The observations are made at NWS/419207, Tyler, Texas City Office, 95.3W/32.3N, 158M).
MAXIMUM 88
MINIMUM 69
PRECIPITATION 0.00
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 1.52
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 21.98

LONGVIEW CLIMATE DATA FOR May 24, 2016
(The report is for the twenty-one hours ending at 2100 Greenwich Mean Time, 4:00 p.m. Central Daylight-Saving Time. The maximum and minimum temperatures represent the observations during the preceeding fifteen hours, and precipitation during the preceding twenty-one hours. The observations are made at WMO/722470, Longview, Texas–East Texas Regional Airport, [94.7W/32.4N, 107M]).
MAXIMUM 85
MINIMUM 69
PRECIPITATION 0.00
MONTH-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 1.83
YEAR-TO-DATE PRECIPITATION 26.12

PUBLIC FORECAST EXPLANATION
ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1815C
AMENDED FOR A FEW CHANGES IN THE POPS PARTICULARLY FOR
MEMORIAL DAY. RKP

ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1452C
We are currently in a very moist surface air mass. Some air mass thunderstorms have
developed near Burnet in Central Texas, and these are possible in our area. At the same time,
there is a minor disturbance over Southern Oklahoma this is the remnant of the thunderstorm
complex which formed over Northwest Texas last night. This could enhance thunderstorm
formation into the early-evening hours, especially to our north.
Otherwise, we are still beneath upper air high pressure and have surface high pressure
present. This is going to hold through Thursday night.
Another thunderstorm complex should form over the Eastern Texas Panhandle here in the
next couple of hours. According to Amarillo’s discussion, tonight’s may be about as strong as
was that of Sunday night/Monday. If this verifies, we may have to increase POPS for
Wednesday.
Otherwise, we’re expecting a significant upper air disturbance to cross late this week.
This will increase shower chances from Thursday afternoon into Friday evening.
Beyond that, next weekend should see a re-building of the upper air high, and a continued
southwesterly flow aloft and very moist surface air mass. This means continuing shower chances
through the holiday weekend.
Early next week, another upper air low is likely to come eastward in the upper air flow,
and again increase our shower chances.
At 2 p.m. today, skies are cloudy indication of the very moist nature of the air mass,
temperatures are in the lower 80s, and winds are southerly at about 10 mph. RKP

CODED CITIES FORECAST–TYR
ISSUED: 05/24/2016 1817C

DAY WX TEMP POP
Wednesday MOSTLY CLOUDY 72/87 20%/10%
Thursday THUNDERSTORMS 73/83 20%/50%
Friday THUNDERSTORMS 71/79 60%/70%

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