a) Mean winter precipitation has been about 15 percent above normal;
December was quite wet, January near normal, and February below normal (thus
far); that for February is about to change;
b) We are emerging from LaNina; NWS thinks it will be early May before the signature completely goes away; however, one encouraging sign is that warm water is downwelling in the Central Equatorial Pacific. That means that sea-surface temperatures and ocean heat content will be rising; that, in
turn, means that we’ll have more Pacific moisture above 8,000 feet to perhaps bring us better rains than last warm season.