Statewide: West Texas will likely continue in drought with easing later in
the year; East Texas: I expect near to above normal precipitation at least for the next two or three months–and probably beyond.
The forecasting models have not done well since December on precipitation in our part of the state. LaNina persisted until the middle of last month, which would have suggested below normal rainfall. Instead, we have had about 150 percent of normal precipitation since December 1.
NWS thinks the problem they are having with the models is not having factored in reduction in Arctic ice due to global warming.