Regarding the thinning of the Arctic sea ice, what are your opinions on the weather effects it will have?


In reference to your earlier response regarding thinning of the Arctic sea ice, what are your opinions on the weather effects it will have? Specifically to satisfy my curiosities, I’m interested if it will result in higher year round temps or just higher winter temps, year round precipitation, and the seasons(longer or shorter seasons, early or late seasons).

ANSWER
Sir,
Here is my best answer:
a) I believe we will have higher precipitation; in fact, we use something called a “standard climate” in referring to normal. They are thirty-year averages, and are re-calculated every ten years. We’re currently using the 1981-2010 standard climate. When I started in the weather business, we were using the 1931-1960; our yearly average rainfall has laready increased by about two inches.
b) I think it will be more a matter of temperature extremes along with a slow rise in temperature. I’m a bit reticent to make temperature comparisons using the standard climate for Tyler since we have significantly urbanized since the climate I started with.
Beyond that, I don’t think I know enough to say anything with any degree of certainty.
RKP

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